Tuesday, November 4, 2025

Something to Do While We Wait

The polls are open until 9:00 p.m. night. If you haven't already voted, you have eight hours to get yourself to the polls. Here are the polling places:
  • First Ward: St. Mary's Academy, 301 Allen Street
  • Second Ward: St. Mary's Academy, 301 Allen Street
  • Third Ward: St. Mary's Academy, 301 Allen Street
  • Fourth Ward: County Office Building, 401 State Street
  • Fifth Ward: Central Fire Station, 77 North Seventh Street
As we wait for the outcome of today's election, Hudson Common Sense and The Hudson Wail have gotten together to challenge people to predict who will be our next mayor. The person who correctly predicts the outcome and the margin will win a turkey from Meat Hook and another to give to a family in need. The deadline for making a predication is 6:00 p.m.



Click here to read the details of the challenge and the prize for predicting correctly and to make your predictions.
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1 comment:

  1. Hudson Common SenseNovember 4, 2025 at 7:45 PM

    Competition closed at 6pm.

    57 Hudson Common Sense, Hudson Wail, and Gossips of Rivertown readers responded:

    48 predicted Joe Ferris to win by an average margin of 10.97%, while nine predicted Kamal Johnson to win by 10.28%.

    We will announce the winner and top 5 (if they agreed to be named) after the official results are confirmed later this week.

    Note on Methods:
    (And why this result is as biased as the 2025 Comprehensive Plan Survey lead by Michelle Tullo and the Public Works Partners Consultants, but did not cost $225k)

    - Limited channel surveys reach only a narrow audience, not the whole community.
    - Self-selected respondents create bias toward louder or more active voices.
    - 57 replies out of ~2,500 voters is just 2%—too small to reflect reality.
    - Tiny samples swing easily from a few outliers.
    - Real polls use random sampling and weighting; this one shows chatter, not the vote. Kinda like the Comprehensive Plan…

    Take-away: This race is not done. Polling stations open until 9pm.

    Kamal and his team mounted an aggressive get-out-the-vote push, boosted by Hudson alums returning to town.
    - Both campaigns worked the phones hard.
    If Kamal edges out a win, it will hinge on 2nd-ward alliances, a leftward shift in the 5th, and an exceptional GOTV effort #AHOD.

    If Joe prevails, credit may go to steady organization, early turnout, and a strong line with Jackie and Margaret, plus high 1st ward turnout.

    - The wild card: how independents and GOP voters split?


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