Since the Vermont information is updated every Friday, I decided to check again today to see how we were doing in the eyes of Vermont. This week, things have improved a bit. Columbia County has gone from red to yellow--an improvement, but travelers from yellow counties still have to quarantine for fourteen days upon arriving in Vermont.
Today, according to the Vermont map, Columbia County has 626 active cases per one million. Given our population of 60,000, that works out to about 37, by my calculations. Yesterday, the Columbia County Department of Health reported there were 6 active cases in the county.
Puzzled by the disparity, a reader contacted the Vermont Department of Financial Regulation, pointing out that on August 18 Columbia County had 8 active cases of COVID-19. The response received reads in part:
According to our data and calculations there are 49 active cases, which translates to 832 active cases per million in Columbia County, NY.
Our modeling experts are comfortable with the accuracy of our methodology and regularly review the most recent data available. Converting to a per million value is a crucial part of our algorithm, since an absolute count would allow almost all low population areas, even those with very high rates of infection, to travel into Vermont without a quarantine, presenting a significant risk to the health of Vermonters.One has to wonder where Vermont is getting its data.
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